Air Force
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
206  Jennifer Bremser SR 20:23
339  Melissa Fuerst SR 20:41
466  Morgan Mosby SR 20:54
756  Heather Connick SO 21:17
758  Rebecca Esselstein SO 21:17
776  Anna Olesinski FR 21:19
913  Kate Kanetzky SR 21:27
915  Hannah Everson FR 21:28
1,042  Annette Eichenberger JR 21:37
National Rank #78 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #10 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.8%
Top 10 in Regional 94.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jennifer Bremser Melissa Fuerst Morgan Mosby Heather Connick Rebecca Esselstein Anna Olesinski Kate Kanetzky Hannah Everson Annette Eichenberger
Rim Rock Farm Classic 09/29 1011 20:12 20:54 21:13 21:15 21:30 21:31
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/29 21:39
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 958 20:16 20:41 21:13 21:01 21:00 21:25 21:25
Mountain West Championships 10/26 985 20:36 20:28 20:56 21:24 21:14 21:39 21:13 21:28 21:18
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 1086 20:32 20:51 21:21 22:02 21:50 21:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 29.7 689 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.3 237 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 7.8 13.6 22.7 29.1 15.8 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jennifer Bremser 2.3% 108.9
Melissa Fuerst 0.1% 161.5
Morgan Mosby 0.1% 208.0
Heather Connick 0.1% 219.0
Rebecca Esselstein 0.1% 227.0
Anna Olesinski 0.1% 217.0
Kate Kanetzky 0.1% 238.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jennifer Bremser 21.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.5 3.7 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.7 5.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.5 3.5 3.5
Melissa Fuerst 36.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2
Morgan Mosby 48.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4
Heather Connick 67.3 0.0
Rebecca Esselstein 67.5 0.0 0.0
Anna Olesinski 68.3
Kate Kanetzky 75.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.2% 18.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.0 1.5 0.0 4
5 4.1% 4.1 5
6 7.8% 7.8 6
7 13.6% 13.6 7
8 22.7% 22.7 8
9 29.1% 29.1 9
10 15.8% 15.8 10
11 3.8% 3.8 11
12 1.0% 1.0 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0